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Red105
492643.5
672134.8
152919.5
Blue76
102437.2
747718.6
7123.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9063408010012014016010576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+29Teleop
+31Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points31
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
0Processor points12
12Net points4
12Algae points16
59Total teleop47
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points2
105Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.8
37.939.7
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
red by 6.3
37.20.7
32.833.5
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
Second
6721
#16
34.81.8
23.525.2
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
red by 11.1
71
#34
23.70.7
19.520.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End2.8
Third
1529
#24
19.51.8
17.118.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
red by 0.9
7477
#25
18.60.7
10.711.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned