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Red117
393632.3
540244.1
448540.4
Blue101
1002138.2
1041122.9
317644.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102102100104106108110114117101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
19Coral scored#14
70Coral points52
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
94Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points6
117Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#11
44.12.8
32.935.6
Auto5.1
Teleop31.0
End8.0
blue by 0.8
44.90.1
32.632.7
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
Second
4485
#13
40.41.7
31.433.1
Auto5.8
Teleop32.8
End1.7
red by 2.2
38.20.1
40.140.3
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
Third
3936
#36
32.31.7
27.729.4
Auto3.1
Teleop28.4
End0.8
red by 9.4
22.90.1
20.120.3
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed