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Red65
1017216.6
348729.0
314714.5
Blue153
82937.2
349457.6
164635.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5712310015065153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+70
Endgame+90
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +63
8Coral scored#22
29Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
47Total teleop110
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#9
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
2Foul points0
65Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3487
#17
29.00.1
21.221.3
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End1.2
blue by 28.6
57.62.8
50.453.2
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
Second
16.60.1
14.214.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End3.0
blue by 20.5
829
#6
37.22.8
27.930.7
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
Third
3147
#37
14.50.1
15.115.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.4
blue by 20.6
1646
#28
35.12.8
21.924.7
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned