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Red119
174734.6
427264.9
174155.7
Blue61
458017.7
46147.7
1043419.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161775010015020025011961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+60Teleop
+70Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
15Coral scored#8
54Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
68Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#3
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points12
119Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.91.7
58.356.6
Auto17.6
Teleop38.7
End8.5
red by 17.2
461
#7
47.72.0
45.443.4
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
Second
1741
#10
55.71.7
56.454.7
Auto15.5
Teleop37.3
End2.9
red by 36.1
19.62.0
19.017.0
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
Third
1747
#20
34.61.7
29.127.5
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
red by 16.9
4580
#39
17.72.0
15.113.1
Auto2.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned