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Red136
102437.2
32833.7
29242.7
Blue83
719812.7
13533.7
761751.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11511905015020025030035013683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +41
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points36
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
24Processor points18
28Net points12
52Algae points30
107Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
2Foul points0
136Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
292
#19
42.71.7
26.628.3
Auto9.2
Teleop31.9
End1.6
blue by 9.2
7617
#30
51.92.9
40.637.7
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
Second
37.21.7
33.535.2
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
red by 3.5
135
#23
33.71.7
30.729.0
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Third
328
#14
33.71.7
29.230.9
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
red by 21.0
7198
#29
12.71.7
18.116.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsMissed