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Red139
672134.8
1002138.2
393632.3
Blue60
747718.6
386521.3
1041122.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11453010015020013960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+81Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +67
21Coral scored#10
76Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
12Processor points6
24Net points4
36Algae points10
112Total teleop45
Reef
11L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
139Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.22.7
40.343.0
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
red by 15.3
22.90.3
20.320.5
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Second
6721
#16
34.82.7
25.228.0
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
red by 13.5
3865
#27
21.30.3
21.822.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
Third
3936
#36
32.32.7
29.432.1
Auto3.1
Teleop28.4
End0.8
red by 13.7
7477
#25
18.60.3
11.411.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed