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Red110
349457.6
745771.3
953016.4
Blue91
348729.0
152919.5
540244.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151785010020011091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
62Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
110Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.31.2
63.762.5
Auto17.7
Teleop43.0
End10.6
red by 27.2
5402
#11
44.11.7
35.637.3
Auto5.1
Teleop31.0
End8.0
Second
57.61.2
53.252.0
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
red by 28.6
3487
#17
29.01.0
21.322.3
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End1.2
Third
9530
#41
16.41.2
11.210.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 3.1
1529
#24
19.51.0
18.919.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned