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Red42
1049219.5
943125.8
1017216.6
Blue65
7123.7
765726.8
314714.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686740506080901001104265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#9
23Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
27Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
42Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9431
#18
25.81.0
23.923.0
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End2.7
blue by 1.0
7657
#22
26.80.4
26.826.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End4.4
Second
19.51.6
18.416.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End2.0
blue by 4.2
71
#34
23.70.2
20.220.0
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End2.8
Third
16.61.0
14.313.3
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End3.0
red by 2.1
3147
#37
14.50.2
15.215.0
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed