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Red144
448540.4
164635.1
317644.9
Blue151
492643.5
82937.2
695633.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96105406080120140160144151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +20
18Coral scored#19
63Coral points69
5Processor algae#2
8Net algae#6
30Processor points12
32Net points24
62Algae points36
125Total teleop105
Reef
6L4#11
5L3#7
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points0
144Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.92.4
32.735.1
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
red by 1.3
43.53.3
39.742.9
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
Second
4485
#13
40.42.4
33.135.5
Auto5.8
Teleop32.8
End1.7
red by 3.2
829
#6
37.23.3
30.734.0
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
Third
1646
#28
35.12.4
24.727.1
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
red by 1.9
6956
#12
33.23.3
25.729.0
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned