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Red159
427264.9
29242.7
907119.7
Blue145
174155.7
911922.8
32833.7
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions138143125130135145150155160159145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
21Coral scored#20
75Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#8
18Processor points12
20Net points32
38Algae points44
113Total teleop116
Reef
12L4#11
4L3#8
3L2#3
6L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#35
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
2Foul points0
159Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.91.9
56.658.6
Auto17.6
Teleop38.7
End8.5
red by 9.2
1741
#10
55.70.8
54.755.6
Auto15.5
Teleop37.3
End2.9
Second
292
#19
42.71.9
28.330.2
Auto9.2
Teleop31.9
End1.6
red by 9.0
328
#14
33.70.8
30.931.7
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
Third
9071
#32
19.71.9
19.421.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End3.6
blue by 3.1
9119
#15
22.80.8
19.720.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsMissed