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Qual 442025 FIN District Lafayette Event
Red91
498214.4
44726.3
761751.9
Blue97
386521.3
102437.2
458017.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7879506070901001101209197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+12
0Endgame0
Fouls+6
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points11
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +4
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points46
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
56Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points6
91Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#30
51.92.3
37.7→40.0
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
red by 14.7
1024
#4
37.21.4
35.2→36.6
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
Second
447
#33
26.31.4
20.6→21.9
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7
red by 4.9
3865
#27
21.31.4
22.1→23.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
Third
4982
#42
14.41.4
11.9→13.3
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 3.2
4580
#39
17.71.4
13.1→14.5
Auto2.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned