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Red113
349457.6
174734.6
348729.0
Blue56
672134.8
1049312.0
953016.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12842010015020011356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+33Teleop
+45Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
22Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +24
13Coral scored#6
45Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
63Total teleop39
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
12Foul points0
113Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.60.1
52.051.9
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
red by 22.7
6721
#16
34.80.7
28.028.6
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
Second
1747
#20
34.60.1
27.527.4
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
red by 18.2
9530
#41
16.40.7
10.010.7
Auto3.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Third
3487
#17
29.00.1
22.322.3
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End1.2
red by 17.0
12.01.1
8.39.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed