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Red95
695633.2
1049219.5
164635.1
Blue149
745771.3
943125.8
82937.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions711395010015020095149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave9
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +25
15Coral scored#17
53Coral points62
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
75Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#7
2L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
95Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#28
35.11.5
27.128.6
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
blue by 36.2
71.32.0
62.564.4
Auto17.7
Teleop43.0
End10.6
Second
6956
#12
33.21.5
29.030.5
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9
blue by 4.0
829
#6
37.22.0
34.035.9
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
Third
19.52.5
16.719.2
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End2.0
blue by 6.3
9431
#18
25.82.0
23.024.9
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsEarned