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Red41
1002915.3
1041122.9
1043419.6
Blue74
719812.7
1002138.2
492643.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4312101001502004174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +34
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
20Total teleop54
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
6Foul points0
41Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.8
20.519.7
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 20.6
43.51.9
42.941.0
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
Second
19.60.8
17.016.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 18.6
38.21.9
43.041.1
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
Third
15.30.8
9.99.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.8
red by 2.6
7198
#29
12.71.9
16.414.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed