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Red109
32833.7
1049312.0
427264.9
Blue106
102437.2
44726.3
174155.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12314250100200250109106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+3Teleop
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +3
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
57Total teleop60
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#7
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
8Foul points6
109Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.9
58.657.7
Auto17.6
Teleop38.7
End8.5
red by 9.2
1741
#10
55.71.9
55.653.7
Auto15.5
Teleop37.3
End2.9
Second
328
#14
33.70.9
31.730.9
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
blue by 3.5
37.21.9
36.634.7
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
Third
12.01.3
9.48.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 14.3
447
#33
26.31.9
21.920.1
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned