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Red108
672134.8
761751.9
747718.6
Blue88
314714.5
953016.4
29242.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9054020408010012014016010888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +11
16Coral scored#15
57Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
79Total teleop68
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
108Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#30
51.92.8
40.042.8
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
red by 9.2
292
#19
42.72.1
30.232.3
Auto9.2
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Second
6721
#16
34.81.8
28.630.4
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
red by 18.5
9530
#41
16.42.1
10.712.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Third
7477
#25
18.61.8
12.414.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End2.0
red by 4.0
3147
#37
14.52.1
15.717.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed