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Red135
448540.4
349457.6
152919.5
Blue119
498214.4
317644.9
174734.6
89%Model gave it11%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1228050100150200135119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
Teleop+2
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points7
28Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
17Coral scored#18
61Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#7
6Processor points6
16Net points28
22Algae points34
83Total teleop97
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#27
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
135Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.60.9
51.952.8
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
red by 12.7
44.91.9
35.837.7
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
Second
4485
#13
40.40.9
35.536.4
Auto5.8
Teleop32.8
End1.7
red by 5.8
1747
#20
34.61.9
27.429.3
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
Third
1529
#24
19.50.9
20.621.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
red by 5.0
4982
#42
14.41.9
13.315.2
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsMissed