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Red68
164635.1
458017.7
348729.0
Blue87
46147.7
1049219.5
540244.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651140501001506887

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#11
44Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
58Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
68Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#28
35.10.2
28.628.7
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
blue by 12.6
461
#7
47.70.9
43.442.5
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
Second
3487
#17
29.00.2
22.322.4
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End1.2
blue by 15.1
5402
#11
44.11.5
38.537.1
Auto5.1
Teleop31.0
End8.0
Third
4580
#39
17.70.2
14.514.6
Auto2.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
blue by 1.8
19.51.5
19.217.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned