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Red88
492643.5
386521.3
1017216.6
Blue147
695633.2
911922.8
13533.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9599809011012013014088147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+41
Fouls+59
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +42
11Coral scored#14
40Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#7
0Processor points12
8Net points28
8Algae points40
48Total teleop90
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#7
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +59
0Foul points18
88Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.3
41.041.4
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
red by 9.8
135
#23
33.72.5
28.030.5
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Second
3865
#27
21.30.3
23.423.8
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
blue by 11.8
6956
#12
33.22.5
30.533.0
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Third
16.60.3
12.412.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End3.0
blue by 6.2
9119
#15
22.82.5
20.623.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned