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Red60
765726.8
82937.2
1002138.2
Blue53
943125.8
1043419.6
719812.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1185201001502006053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+1
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +8
8Coral scored#5
27Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
37Total teleop29
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points6
60Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.23.4
41.137.7
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
red by 12.4
9431
#18
25.80.6
24.924.4
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End2.7
Second
829
#6
37.23.4
35.932.6
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
red by 17.6
19.60.6
16.115.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
Third
7657
#22
26.85.3
27.622.3
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End4.4
red by 14.1
7198
#29
12.70.6
14.513.9
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned