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Qual 572025 FIN District Lafayette Event
Red56
953016.4
152919.5
747718.6
Blue108
317644.9
1049312.0
174155.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4111505010015020056108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+72
Endgame+70
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +61
4Coral scored#14
15Coral points52
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
0Processor points12
8Net points20
8Algae points32
23Total teleop84
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
18Foul points0
56Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1529
#24
19.50.7
21.5→20.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
blue by 36.2
1741
#10
55.70.6
53.7→54.3
Auto15.5
Teleop37.3
End2.9
Second
7477
#25
18.60.7
14.2→13.5
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End2.0
blue by 26.3
3176
#9
44.90.6
37.7→38.3
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
Third
9530
#41
16.40.7
12.8→12.1
Auto3.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 4.4
10493
#38
12.00.8
8.0→8.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed