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Red138
458017.7
761751.9
1049219.5
Blue180
540244.1
349457.6
32833.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8915750100200138180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+14
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
4Coral scored#3
19Coral points13
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
20Coral scored#16
71Coral points56
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#7
18Processor points24
12Net points28
30Algae points52
101Total teleop108
Reef
11L4#5
8L3#8
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
2Foul points30
138Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#30
51.93.3
42.846.1
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
blue by 5.7
57.60.0
52.852.8
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
Second
19.53.3
17.721.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.5
End2.0
blue by 24.6
5402
#11
44.10.0
37.137.1
Auto5.1
Teleop31.0
End8.0
Third
4580
#39
17.72.3
14.616.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
blue by 16.0
328
#14
33.70.0
30.930.9
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned