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Qual 592025 FIN District Lafayette Event
Red26
386521.3
314714.5
911922.8
Blue89
1017216.6
448540.4
174734.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75980501502689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+73
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +70
1Coral scored#13
3Coral points45
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
0Processor points12
0Net points16
0Algae points28
3Total teleop73
Reef
1L4#6
0L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
1Game pieces#21
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
26Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9119
#15
22.82.6
23.1→20.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.7
blue by 17.5
4485
#13
40.40.7
36.4→37.1
Auto5.8
Teleop32.8
End1.7
Second
3865
#27
21.32.6
23.8→21.2
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
blue by 13.2
1747
#20
34.60.7
29.3→30.0
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
Third
3147
#37
14.52.6
17.8→15.2
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.4
blue by 2.1
10172
#35
16.60.7
12.7→13.4
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed