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Red98
164635.1
13533.7
1002915.3
Blue153
672134.8
745771.3
102437.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6215005010020098153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+61
Endgame+61
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points18
20Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +54
9Coral scored#24
34Coral points88
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
56Total teleop110
Reef
4L4#12
4L3#7
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
6Foul points0
98Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1646
#28
35.11.1
28.729.8
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
blue by 36.2
71.31.1
66.167.2
Auto17.7
Teleop43.0
End10.6
Second
135
#23
33.71.1
30.531.6
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End8.0
blue by 3.5
37.21.1
34.735.8
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
Third
15.31.1
10.811.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.8
blue by 19.5
6721
#16
34.81.1
30.431.5
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned