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Red75
44726.3
765726.8
393632.3
Blue92
348729.0
719812.7
29242.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818240506070901001101207592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+13
Endgame+9
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +3
13Coral scored#12
48Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
62Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points8
75Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3936
#36
32.30.1
31.331.4
Auto3.1
Teleop28.4
End0.8
blue by 10.3
292
#19
42.71.0
32.333.3
Auto9.2
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Second
7657
#22
26.80.1
22.322.5
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End4.4
blue by 2.2
3487
#17
29.01.0
22.423.5
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End1.2
Third
447
#33
26.30.1
20.120.2
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7
red by 13.6
7198
#29
12.71.0
13.915.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed