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Red67
498214.4
1043419.6
492643.5
Blue127
1041122.9
46147.7
695633.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211640608010014016018067127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+50
Endgame+40
Fouls+60
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +50
6Coral scored#17
20Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
30Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points20
67Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.4
44.843.4
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
blue by 4.2
461
#7
47.70.1
44.544.6
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
Second
19.61.4
20.919.6
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 13.6
6956
#12
33.20.1
33.133.2
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Third
4982
#42
14.41.4
15.814.4
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 8.4
22.90.1
22.822.9
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed