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Red76
82937.2
907119.7
7123.7
Blue129
1002138.2
943125.8
427264.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751355010015020076129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+55
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
9Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +35
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points56
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#3
6Processor points18
16Net points12
22Algae points30
51Total teleop86
Reef
4L4#11
3L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
76Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#6
37.20.0
32.632.6
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
blue by 27.7
64.90.6
57.758.3
Auto17.6
Teleop38.7
End8.5
Second
71
#34
23.70.0
20.220.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End2.8
blue by 14.5
38.20.6
37.738.4
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
Third
9071
#32
19.70.0
23.123.1
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End3.6
blue by 6.1
9431
#18
25.80.6
24.425.0
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed20%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned