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Red141
314714.5
745771.3
317644.9
Blue68
761751.9
102437.2
1002915.3
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134955015020014168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+65Teleop
+77Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points23
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +68
23Coral scored#8
81Coral points27
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
105Total teleop37
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points4
141Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.31.4
67.268.6
Auto17.7
Teleop43.0
End10.6
red by 19.4
7617
#30
51.92.6
46.143.5
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
Second
44.91.4
38.339.6
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
red by 7.6
37.22.0
35.833.8
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
Third
3147
#37
14.51.4
15.216.6
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.4
blue by 0.8
15.32.0
11.99.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed