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Red109
492643.5
765726.8
46147.7
Blue129
393632.3
695633.2
349457.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141356080100160180200109129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
7Coral scored#4
33Coral points22
33Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +31
14Coral scored#19
50Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
60Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#9
5L3#5
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points2
109Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#7
47.70.2
42.542.6
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
blue by 9.9
57.60.7
52.853.5
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
Second
43.50.2
41.441.6
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
red by 10.4
6956
#12
33.20.7
33.033.6
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Third
7657
#22
26.80.2
22.522.7
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End4.4
blue by 5.5
3936
#36
32.30.7
31.432.1
Auto3.1
Teleop28.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned