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Red44
386521.3
498214.4
907119.7
Blue160
7123.7
427264.9
164635.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57123010015020044160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+108
Endgame+116
Fouls+116
AutonomousBlue +38
0Leave3
1Coral scored#8
6Coral points41
6Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +70
7Coral scored#22
26Coral points78
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
32Total teleop102
Reef
4L4#12
2L3#7
1L2#7
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +116
0Foul points0
44Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3865
#27
21.31.8
21.219.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
blue by 43.5
64.92.5
58.360.8
Auto17.6
Teleop38.7
End8.5
Second
9071
#32
19.71.8
23.121.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End3.6
blue by 15.4
1646
#28
35.12.5
29.832.3
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
Third
4982
#42
14.41.8
15.213.4
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 9.2
71
#34
23.72.5
20.222.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned