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Red161
82937.2
32833.7
953016.4
Blue119
911922.8
1002138.2
1043419.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061046080120140160161119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +35
24Coral scored#21
88Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
128Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#11
9L3#4
7L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
6Foul points0
161Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#6
37.22.7
32.635.3
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
blue by 1.0
38.20.8
38.439.1
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
Second
328
#14
33.72.7
30.933.6
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
red by 10.9
9119
#15
22.80.8
20.521.3
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.7
Third
9530
#41
16.42.7
12.114.8
Auto3.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 3.2
19.60.8
15.616.3
Auto5.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned