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Red61
458017.7
314714.5
448540.4
Blue141
745771.3
719812.7
174155.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6715405010020061141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave9
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points28
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +10
7Coral scored#11
24Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
46Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
0Foul points32
61Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4485
#13
40.40.8
37.937.2
Auto5.8
Teleop32.8
End1.7
blue by 30.9
71.31.9
68.666.6
Auto17.7
Teleop43.0
End10.6
Second
4580
#39
17.70.8
18.317.5
Auto2.7
Teleop11.5
End3.4
blue by 38.0
1741
#10
55.71.9
55.153.2
Auto15.5
Teleop37.3
End2.9
Third
3147
#37
14.50.8
16.615.8
Auto3.2
Teleop9.9
End1.4
red by 1.8
7198
#29
12.71.9
14.512.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned