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Red135
695633.2
317644.9
761751.9
Blue107
1017216.6
672134.8
44726.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1326750100150200135107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
22Coral scored#16
79Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
103Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#9
9L3#3
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points2
135Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#30
51.90.6
43.544.0
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
red by 17.1
6721
#16
34.81.8
32.934.6
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
Second
44.90.5
39.640.1
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
red by 18.6
447
#33
26.31.8
19.721.4
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7
Third
6956
#12
33.20.5
33.634.1
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9
red by 16.6
16.61.8
14.916.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsEarned