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Red130
1049312.0
492643.5
745771.3
Blue98
427264.9
1017216.6
498214.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421055020013098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave9
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points11
37Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#12
47Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
79Total teleop62
Reef
9L4#6
3L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
130Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.30.1
66.666.7
Auto17.7
Teleop43.0
End10.6
red by 6.4
64.90.1
60.460.3
Auto17.6
Teleop38.7
End8.5
Second
43.50.1
44.744.8
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
red by 26.9
16.60.1
16.716.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End3.0
Third
12.00.1
11.812.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 2.5
4982
#42
14.40.1
15.915.8
Auto2.3
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned76%Barge oddsEarned