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Red136
1002138.2
540244.1
44726.3
Blue104
164635.1
386521.3
152919.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11271050100150136104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+34Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +37
25Coral scored#13
91Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
109Total teleop72
Reef
12L4#7
9L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
136Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#11
44.11.9
42.244.1
Auto5.1
Teleop31.0
End8.0
red by 9.0
1646
#28
35.11.7
33.435.0
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
Second
38.21.7
35.237.0
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
red by 16.9
3865
#27
21.31.7
18.920.6
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
Third
447
#33
26.31.7
21.423.2
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7
red by 6.8
1529
#24
19.51.7
17.819.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned