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Red120
911922.8
102437.2
82937.2
Blue104
393632.3
953016.4
348729.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1198250100150200120104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +2
14Coral scored#21
50Coral points74
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
24Processor points6
16Net points8
40Algae points14
90Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
120Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.20.3
36.737.0
Auto7.0
Teleop23.8
End6.4
red by 4.9
3936
#36
32.30.6
31.832.3
Auto3.1
Teleop28.4
End0.8
Second
829
#6
37.20.3
35.635.9
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
red by 8.2
3487
#17
29.00.6
23.924.4
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End1.2
Third
9119
#15
22.80.3
22.322.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.9
End5.7
red by 6.5
9530
#41
16.40.6
15.816.4
Auto3.4
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed