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Red149
1041122.9
174734.6
13533.7
Blue176
761751.9
765726.8
32833.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11112880100120140160180149176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+57
Endgame+45
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +54
19Coral scored#29
69Coral points105
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
12Processor points18
8Net points20
20Algae points38
89Total teleop143
Reef
5L4#9
7L3#12
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#39
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
18Foul points0
149Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
#20
34.61.6
32.233.8
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
blue by 17.3
7617
#30
51.93.6
44.047.7
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
Second
135
#23
33.71.6
32.133.7
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End8.0
Level
328
#14
33.73.3
29.733.0
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
Third
22.91.6
21.222.8
Auto4.3
Teleop16.2
End2.3
blue by 4.0
7657
#22
26.83.6
23.226.8
Auto4.4
Teleop18.0
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned