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Red240
427264.9
348729.0
745771.3
Blue115
174734.6
32833.7
386521.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19310650150250240115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+115Teleop
+125Endgame
+125Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave3
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points9
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +83
31Coral scored#19
110Coral points67
3Processor algae#1
9Net algae#2
18Processor points6
36Net points8
54Algae points14
164Total teleop81
Reef
18L4#7
7L3#7
10L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
51Game pieces#24
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +125
6Foul points6
240Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.31.3
66.768.0
Auto17.7
Teleop43.0
End10.6
red by 36.7
1747
#20
34.60.1
33.833.7
Auto3.9
Teleop24.3
End6.4
Second
64.91.3
60.361.6
Auto17.6
Teleop38.7
End8.5
red by 31.2
328
#14
33.70.1
33.032.8
Auto4.0
Teleop26.9
End2.9
Third
3487
#17
29.01.3
24.425.8
Auto6.4
Teleop21.4
End1.2
red by 7.7
3865
#27
21.30.1
20.620.5
Auto3.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4