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Red120
82937.2
672134.8
1002138.2
Blue154
317644.9
44726.3
46147.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161246080100140160180120154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +22
16Coral scored#21
59Coral points77
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
83Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#7
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
26Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
120Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.3
37.037.3
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
blue by 9.5
461
#7
47.71.0
44.645.6
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
Second
829
#6
37.20.3
35.936.2
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
blue by 7.7
44.91.0
41.842.8
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
Third
6721
#16
34.80.3
33.633.9
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
red by 8.5
447
#33
26.31.0
23.224.2
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7