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Red154
349457.6
164635.1
492643.5
Blue166
761751.9
448540.4
29242.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15213780100120160180200220240154166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
8Coral scored#6
39Coral points30
39Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +28
16Coral scored#27
59Coral points97
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
91Total teleop119
Reef
10L4#16
6L3#7
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#38
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
154Total score166

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.60.4
57.557.9
Auto11.2
Teleop36.2
End10.1
red by 5.7
7617
#30
51.91.0
47.748.6
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
Second
43.50.4
43.443.8
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End5.4
red by 0.9
292
#19
42.71.0
38.439.4
Auto9.2
Teleop31.9
End1.6
Third
1646
#28
35.10.4
35.035.4
Auto6.8
Teleop26.3
End1.9
blue by 5.3
4485
#13
40.41.0
36.137.1
Auto5.8
Teleop32.8
End1.7