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Red100
13533.7
540244.1
695633.2
Blue135
82937.2
672134.8
1002138.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211228090100110130140150160100135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+11
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points14
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
13Coral scored#17
46Coral points62
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
64Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#7
2L2#6
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points24
100Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5402
#11
44.10.3
44.344.1
Auto5.1
Teleop31.0
End8.0
red by 5.9
38.20.0
37.837.8
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
Second
135
#23
33.70.3
34.033.7
Auto6.9
Teleop18.9
End8.0
blue by 3.4
829
#6
37.20.0
36.736.8
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
Third
6956
#12
33.20.3
33.433.2
Auto4.4
Teleop25.8
End2.9
blue by 1.7
6721
#16
34.80.0
34.434.5
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8