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Red126
82937.2
672134.8
1002138.2
Blue143
317644.9
44726.3
46147.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118129406080100140160180200126143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+15
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
21Coral scored#23
75Coral points82
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
113Total teleop114
Reef
8L4#11
7L3#6
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
126Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.20.4
37.838.2
Auto7.1
Teleop30.6
End0.5
blue by 9.5
461
#7
47.70.6
46.747.3
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
Second
829
#6
37.20.4
36.837.2
Auto5.1
Teleop27.3
End4.7
blue by 7.7
44.90.6
43.944.5
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
Third
6721
#16
34.80.4
34.534.8
Auto5.4
Teleop26.6
End2.8
red by 8.5
447
#33
26.30.6
25.325.9
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7