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Red174
761751.9
448540.4
29242.7
Blue135
317644.9
44726.3
46147.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143127100200250174135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+61Teleop
+39Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +40
26Coral scored#15
95Coral points55
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#8
18Processor points6
20Net points32
38Algae points38
133Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#8
12L3#6
6L2#3
7L1 · trough#1
40Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points0
174Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7617
#30
51.91.0
49.950.9
Auto10.1
Teleop37.2
End4.6
red by 4.2
461
#7
47.70.4
47.347.7
Auto11.0
Teleop31.3
End5.4
Second
292
#19
42.71.0
40.641.6
Auto9.2
Teleop31.9
End1.6
blue by 2.2
44.90.4
44.544.9
Auto5.0
Teleop32.7
End7.2
Third
4485
#13
40.41.0
38.339.3
Auto5.8
Teleop32.8
End1.7
red by 14.1
447
#33
26.30.4
25.926.3
Auto3.9
Teleop17.7
End4.7