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Red42
911910.7
393613.5
219719.1
Blue32
1041116.2
1043417.1
810312.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6871405060804232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +7
6Coral scored#5
23Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
33Total teleop26
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
42Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2197
#15
19.13.6
25.021.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
red by 2.0
17.16.1
19.613.5
Auto4.0
Teleop10.6
End2.5
Second
3936
#16
13.53.6
19.015.4
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 2.7
16.29.4
22.913.5
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
9119
#32
10.73.6
15.812.1
Auto1.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
blue by 1.3
8103
#19
12.04.4
26.622.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed