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Red5
843111.7
74776.9
492625.3
Blue45
386517.6
501035.7
16468.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7187050100150200545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +35
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop35
Reef
0L4#3
0L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
5Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#22
25.36.5
28.021.5
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End1.3
blue by 10.5
35.73.3
33.430.0
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
Second
8431
#14
11.74.2
15.511.3
Auto2.0
Teleop7.3
End2.3
blue by 5.9
17.63.3
17.814.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Third
7477
#20
6.96.5
18.111.6
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.8
blue by 1.8
1646
#36
8.73.3
23.920.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed