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Red96
501035.7
82925.5
155511.1
Blue106
1017211.4
4521.8
32825.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8856020408010012014016096106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+8
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
71Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points2
96Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.70.7
30.029.3
Auto6.6
Teleop27.2
End1.9
red by 9.9
328
#13
25.92.6
15.618.2
Auto3.1
Teleop21.2
End1.6
Second
829
#5
25.50.7
28.828.1
Auto4.6
Teleop18.5
End2.4
red by 3.8
45
#8
21.82.6
25.327.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End3.1
Third
1555
#25
11.10.7
16.916.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 0.3
11.42.6
12.915.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsEarned