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Red18
217114.3
95549.8
943115.5
Blue40
44719.5
74776.9
548424.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46730204060801001201401840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +23
2Coral scored#5
7Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
7Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
18Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9431
#34
15.52.9
17.814.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.2
End1.9
blue by 8.6
5484
#23
24.22.5
34.131.6
Auto4.5
Teleop19.4
End0.4
Second
2171
#17
14.32.9
12.89.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End-0.0
blue by 5.2
447
#18
19.52.5
16.514.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.6
End2.5
Third
9554
#31
9.82.9
13.410.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 2.9
7477
#20
6.92.5
11.69.1
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed