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Red50
393613.5
1041116.2
286718.1
Blue123
46142.7
386517.6
150149.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53100020408012014016050123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+49
Endgame+61
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points52
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
40Total teleop72
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#5
11Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points12
50Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2867
#26
18.11.3
20.819.6
Auto2.4
Teleop13.2
End2.5
blue by 31.4
49.52.1
36.638.7
Auto13.2
Teleop30.9
End5.4
Second
16.21.3
13.512.2
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 26.6
461
#4
42.72.1
32.434.5
Auto9.8
Teleop29.6
End3.3
Third
3936
#16
13.51.3
15.414.1
Auto1.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 4.1
17.62.1
14.516.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned