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Red58
911910.7
492625.3
102430.0
Blue24
314712.7
843111.7
16468.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7960020401001201401605824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+32Teleop
+32Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +28
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
42Total teleop14
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
2Foul points0
58Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1024
#11
30.02.1
32.430.3
Auto4.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
red by 17.3
3147
#29
12.74.1
21.217.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End2.5
Second
4926
#22
25.32.1
21.519.4
Auto7.1
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 13.6
8431
#14
11.74.1
11.37.2
Auto2.0
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Third
9119
#32
10.72.1
12.110.0
Auto1.4
Teleop8.0
End1.3
red by 2.0
1646
#36
8.74.1
20.616.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed