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Red49
810312.0
13524.9
219719.1
Blue48
745753.0
317618.9
953010.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808402040601001201401604948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+1
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points21
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
20Total teleop25
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
49Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#3
24.92.3
25.923.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.1
End4.6
blue by 28.0
53.02.8
40.137.3
Auto10.3
Teleop32.5
End10.1
Second
2197
#15
19.12.3
21.319.1
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End2.8
red by 0.2
3176
#10
18.92.8
23.320.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End6.8
Third
8103
#19
12.02.3
22.219.9
Auto2.8
Teleop6.2
End2.9
red by 1.9
9530
#27
10.12.8
9.87.0
Auto2.4
Teleop6.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned